- 12 Years a Slave
- American Hustle
- Captain Phillips
- The Wolf of Wall Street
- Inside Llewyn Davis
I feel the top nine are locks and if there is ten, I believe Woody Allen's Blue Jasmine might edge out John Lee Hancock's Saving Mr. Banks and J.C. Chandor's All Is Lost. Dallas Buyers Club has got some legs and definitely is one of the top ten films. I hope the Coen's film gets in! Just a feel and from what has been going with on with other awards and nominations.
- Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
- Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
- David O. Russell, American Hustle
- Spike Jonze, Her
- Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
Now, there is no reason that Martin Scorsese should not be in the top five, top three for that matter, but since the reaction from the Academy's screening of his masterful The Wolf of Wall Street, I think he is going to be sitting on the sidelines. Russell and Payne will make it, along with the frontrunners McQueen and Cuarón. Who gets that fifth spot? Will the DGA matter? It did not last year. I am picking Jonze, slightly, but it could easily be Greengrass. Should be Scorsese or the Coen's and it should not even be between these two!!!
- Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
- Robert Redford, All Is Lost
- Bruce Dern, Nebraska
- Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
- Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
No changes here, but after seeing The Wolf of Wall Street, DiCaprio gives his finest performance and is easily one of the best this year. I do not think he will make it due to the backlash from the Academy. Field is very crowded this year, but who would you take out or put in?
- Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
- Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
- Judi Dench, Philomena
- Sandra Bullock, Gravity
- Brie Larson, Short Term 12
This is set except for the fifth spot. It will probably go to the legend Meryl Streep, but it would be nice to see a newcomer like Brie Larson or Exarhopoulos or Bejo get in. Sticking with my gut, but I know it will be Streep. Adams is great too, so I would not be disappointed if she gets in either.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
- Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
- Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
- Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
- Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Much like with DiCaprio, Jonah Hill definitely deserves to be in the top five. The other four are set and Hill might be left out due to the unlikable nature of the film. If he is left out, I think Gandolfini will receive a posthumous nomination and deservedly so. Brühl is in. Hoping Hill is not left.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
- Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
- Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
- June Squibb, Nebraska
- Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' The Butler
- Octavia Spencer, Fruitvale Station
It is looking like the wonderful performance from Octavia Spencer is going to get nudged out by Julia Roberts. Damn. She is so deserved of a nom for Fruitvale Station. Lawrence is wild and crazy, but she is in and might win, even though she is not even the best in show in American Hustle. It should be Nyong'o all the way.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
- Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
- Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
- Bob Nelson, Nebraska
- Spike Jonze, Her
- Kelly Marcel & Sue Smith, Saving Mr. Banks
Regardless of the WGA nominations, I am sticking with the Coen's. I mean, come on. I feel that Dallas Buyers Club can sneak in, but who gets left out. Could the Coen's or Woody get left out?
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
- John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
- Terence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street
- Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy & Ethan Hawke, Before Midnight
- Billy Ray, Captain Phillips
- Steve Coogan & Jeff Pope, Philomena
I am sticking with these five, but will Winter get in? Should easily, but who knows. I am saying yes for now, but if not, Letts will be there. Or, can Berg sneak in since he got recognized by the WGA?
- Emmanuel Lubezki, Gravity
- Bruno Delbonnel, Inside Llewyn Davis
- Sean Bobbitt, 12 Years a Slave
- Barry Ackroyd, Captain Phillips
- Roger Deakins, Prisoners
Extremely competitive, as always. If any of these five are left out, it might be Ackroyd. The other four are locks and Anthony Dod Mantle or the beautiful black and white from Phedon Papamichael could take Ackroyd's place. Lubezki should finely get his Oscar and Mr. Deakins will have to wait another year.
BEST FILM EDITING
- Alfonso Cuarón & Mark Sanger, Gravity
- Joe Walker, 12 Years a Slave
- Roderick Jaynes (Joel & Ethan Coen), Inside Llewyn Davis
- Thelma Schoonmaker, The Wolf of Wall Street
- Pete Beaudreau, All Is Lost
Always an exciting category. Will Schoonmaker get in? Will the Coen's get in? Both should, but there are so many great films this year. I feel the American Hustle team will make it, but they should not. Any of the four that are not in my chosen top five should be there. One of the hardest categories to pick. Going with this five.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FILM
- Stories We Tell
- The Act of Killing
- 20 Feet from Stardom
- The Square
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
- The Hunt (Denmark)
- The Great Beauty (Italy)
- The Notebook (Hungary)
- Two Lives (Germany)
How do they leave Saudi Arabia's Wadjda, Chile's Gloria and Ashgar Farhadi's Iranian entry The Past off the final list? Stupid.